Kurdistan

Though large numbers of Jews were scattered around the world for two thousand years, Palestine has always retained a significant number of them. Of the almost 11.3 million Jews in 1900, most were in Europe (9 million), Russia (3.9 million) and the United States (1.5 million). At the beginning of the WWII the global population of Jews had grown to 15.4 million of which one third were in the US.

Even before the holocaust there were movements to reestablish a Jewish homeland in Palestine. The 1917 Belfour Declaration from British Foreign Secretary Arthur Balfour to Lord Walter Rothschild, pledged British support for a “national home for the Jewish people” in Palestine. The local Christian and Muslim community of Palestine, who constituted almost 90% of the population, strongly opposed the declaration.

What became known as Zionism (as formalized by Theodor Herzl, it aimed to secure a safe haven for Jews fleeing persecution and to revive Jewish culture and language) took many forms. For example, the question who is Jewish continues to be debated. Following World War I, Britian ruled the Lavant (Palestine). On September 3, 1947, the UN adopted the boundaries (green line) to divide the British mandate between a state of Israel and the rest. Israel was given 56% and Jerusalem (an important Christian, Jewish, and Muslim shrine) was made international. When Britten ended its Mandate, Israel declared its independence.

Most Zionists sought a democratic Jewish state. Upon its founding in 1947, Israel was roughly 60% Muslim, 40% Jewish and 10% Christian. That was an unacceptable problem for those wanting a democratic Jewish state. From the Nakba of 1948 (Jewish ethnic cleaning of over half of the Palestinians then living in Israel) Israel was about 90% Jewish in 1949. Currently the population of Israel is about 10 million, of which 73% are Jewish, and 20% are Muslims. Finding peace with the rest of Palestine has remained a challenge to this day. Are the prospects for a peaceful Kurdistan very different.

The Kurdish population worldwide is estimated to be between 40 and 45 million, making them one of the largest ethnic groups without a sovereign state. However, about 30 million of them live within what would be the sovereign state of Kurdistan should it be allowed to exist, made up of chunks of Turkey, Iraq, Iran and Syria.

Kurdish military forces have fought for territory but largely in pursuit of claims to rule what they considered home ground. It is extremely unlikely that the Kurds in this area would have any interest in expanding their territory. None the less Iraq, Iran, Syria and Turkey have generally been hostile to any effort of the Kurds to rule themselves. The formation of a Kurdistan raises the questions whether that would bring greater peace to the wider region and whether the “internal” politics would support domestic rule that would properly serve the Kurdish people (or all residents of the area). Intense opposing political views exist within Kurdistan, particularly in Iraq, where the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) compete for control, often leading to governance deadlocks, separate security forces, and split zones of control.

In addition, we must ask whether the Iraqi Kurds, Iranian Kurds, Turkish Kurds, and Syrian Kurds feel more loyal to the country they are located in or to their fellow Kurds in the surrounding countries. Does a nation function better toward the interests of its citizens when based on ethnic and/or religious commonality or when based on common principals of governance and rights?

Israel is an example of the first option—Jewishness. As a classical liberal (libertarian) I support the American approach of rights and laws applied equally without regard to ethnicity or personal religious beliefs. For Kurdistan, the question with whether the Kurds of Turkey, Iraq, Iran or Syria feel greater loyalty to other Kurds or to the country they live in.

I started this blog expecting to build the case for a Kurdistan. I have talked myself out of it.

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Author: Warren Coats

I specialize in advising central banks on monetary policy and the development of the capacity to formulate and implement monetary policy.  I joined the International Monetary Fund in 1975 from which I retired in 2003 as Assistant Director of the Monetary and Financial Systems Department. While at the IMF I led or participated in missions to the central banks of over twenty countries (including Afghanistan, Bosnia, Croatia, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Kazakhstan, Kenya, Kosovo, Kyrgystan, Moldova, Serbia, Turkey, West Bank and Gaza Strip, and Zimbabwe) and was seconded as a visiting economist to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (1979-80), and to the World Bank's World Development Report team in 1989.  After retirement from the IMF I was a member of the Board of the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority from 2003-10 and of the editorial board of the Cayman Financial Review from 2010-2017.  Prior to joining the IMF I was Assistant Prof of Economics at UVa from 1970-75.  I am currently a fellow of Johns Hopkins Krieger School of Arts and Sciences, Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise.  In March 2019 Central Banking Journal awarded me for my “Outstanding Contribution for Capacity Building.”  My recent books are One Currency for Bosnia: Creating the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina; My Travels in the Former Soviet Union; My Travels to Afghanistan; My Travels to Jerusalem; and My Travels to Baghdad. I have a BA in Economics from the UC Berkeley and a PhD in Economics from the University of Chicago. My dissertation committee was chaired by Milton Friedman and included Robert J. Gordon. I live in National Landing Va 22202

2 thoughts on “Kurdistan”

  1. Warren, With the war in (or on) Iran, the Trump has outsourced US Mideast policy to Israel, even more than his predecessors did.  The US has an interest in preventing anyone — Iran, Iraq, some Gulf Coast combination — from establishing hegemony in the Gulf.  But Iran was nowhere close to doing that, hence what might have been a core-case for US intervention is absent.  What we (ie, Trump) have done is strike a blow for Israeli hegemony in the region — backed up by the US.  But US support will be too erratic to make that work, and in any event, the US should not boost anyone’s regional hegemony.  Fwiw, my ire is less toward Israel than toward the US Admin for allowing itself to be dragged into (and hence, aggravating …) this mess. I believe your summary of the establishment of Israel misses important details.  Your 60-40-10 demographic breakdown is roughly accurate for ALL of the Palestine Mandate in 1947; in other words, about 2/3 Arab (the word then used) and 1/3 Jewish.  The partition proposed on 3 Sept 1947, then adopted by the UN Gen Ass Res #181 on about 30 Nov 1947, left a Jewish majority of around 60 % (600,000 out of 1 M) in the Jewish state, in 56% of the area of Mandate.  The remaining portions of the Mandate (about 44%), intended for an Arab state, were heavily Arab, above 95% (from memory). The partition was adopted by 33 to 13, with US, Soviets and Europeans voting in favor, Arab countries against, and Britain abstaining.  Jews in Israel celebrated.  Arabs inside the Mandate within days took up arms against the Jews, who were soon on the defensive.  On May 14, 1948, the British mandate ended — and Israel was invaded by Egypt, Syria and Jordan.  Jews were again on the defensive.  Something like half of refugees left (numbers are not fresh in my mind, and anyway there is disagreement) while Israel was on the defensive, hence in no position to carry out some large-scale expulsion.  Refugees run away from war to stay alive, and in large part that is what happened in 1948.  To describe the Israeli war of independence as a deliberate “ethnic cleansing” is not accurate. Btw, the 56-44 land division sounds favorable to the Jews … but much more than half of the Jewish portion was in the Negev Desert, which remains only lightly inhabited.   I agree that this is not the time to expand war aims to include a Kurdish state.    clark (Feel free to post …)

     

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